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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.16+7.70vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.50+5.51vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.06+2.53vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.44+3.48vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.56+2.01vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+4.38vs Predicted
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7University of Washington-0.16+8.52vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.09-2.70vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.40-1.32vs Predicted
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10University of Michigan0.28+4.77vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-3.04vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.50-4.34vs Predicted
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13Fordham University1.73-3.00vs Predicted
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14University of Minnesota-0.13+1.36vs Predicted
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15University of Hawaii1.25-3.24vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.04-6.86vs Predicted
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17Tulane University0.48-2.80vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.15-12.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.7University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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7.51Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.53Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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7.48University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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10.38University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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15.52University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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5.3College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.68Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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14.77University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
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7.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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7.66Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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10.0Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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15.36University of Minnesota-0.130.0%1st Place
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11.76University of Hawaii1.250.0%1st Place
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9.14Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
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14.2Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
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5.05Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.4% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Daisy Holthus | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 11.5% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.9% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Brittney Slook | 8.1% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Madeline Kraus | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 3.2% | 1.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 14.8% | 23.1% | 31.8% |
| Paris Henken | 13.3% | 13.4% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Youtt | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 11.8% | 16.5% | 21.7% | 19.8% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 2.9% | 0.4% |
| Bailey Adkins | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 20.6% | 30.3% |
| Annika Garrett | 1.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 11.2% | 13.3% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 2.3% |
| Macey McCann | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Catie Cullen | 1.1% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 13.7% | 19.4% | 17.2% | 14.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 13.2% | 13.6% | 13.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.