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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+4.44vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.11+6.92vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.50+4.43vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.15+1.08vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.73+4.96vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+1.88vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.06-1.62vs Predicted
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8University of Hawaii1.25+3.64vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.40-1.44vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.56-2.75vs Predicted
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11Georgetown University2.19-2.50vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-1.43vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.16-4.64vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.44-6.77vs Predicted
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15Tulane University0.48-0.92vs Predicted
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16University of Washington-0.16-0.36vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.28-2.29vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota-0.13-2.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.44College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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8.92Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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7.43Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.08Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.96Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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5.38Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.64University of Hawaii1.250.0%1st Place
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7.56Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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7.25U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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8.5Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
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10.57University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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8.36University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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7.23University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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14.08Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
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15.64University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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14.71University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
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15.36University of Minnesota-0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 12.1% | 12.3% | 11.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 14.4% | 12.9% | 12.2% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 0.5% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 13.3% | 12.7% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 11.8% | 5.4% | 2.4% |
| Talia Toland | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brittney Slook | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Madeline Kraus | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 1.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 7.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Catie Cullen | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 13.3% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 12.2% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 15.3% | 22.7% | 34.1% |
| Sarah Youtt | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 8.0% | 11.1% | 16.5% | 21.9% | 19.2% |
| Bailey Adkins | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 16.6% | 22.8% | 29.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.