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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+4.59vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.50+5.55vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.06+2.58vs Predicted
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4University of South Florida2.16+4.53vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+2.89vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.40+1.74vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.73+3.16vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.50-0.65vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.19-0.58vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.56-2.61vs Predicted
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11Tulane University0.48+3.19vs Predicted
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12University of Washington-0.16+3.83vs Predicted
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13University of Hawaii1.25-1.29vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-3.83vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.44-7.42vs Predicted
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16Boston College3.15-10.76vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.28-2.30vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota-0.13-2.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.59College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.55Harvard University2.500.1%1st Place
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5.58Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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8.53University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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7.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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7.74Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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10.16Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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7.35Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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8.42Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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7.39U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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14.19Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
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15.83University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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11.71University of Hawaii1.250.0%1st Place
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10.17University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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7.58University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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5.24Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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14.7University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
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15.38University of Minnesota-0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 12.6% | 10.9% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 5.3% | 5.5% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Talia Toland | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 2.5% | 0.7% |
| Daisy Holthus | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Brittney Slook | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Catie Cullen | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 16.7% | 19.4% | 13.3% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 14.5% | 21.4% | 37.7% |
| Annika Garrett | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 14.6% | 11.6% | 5.9% | 2.1% |
| Madeline Kraus | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 9.6% | 12.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 13.4% | 13.0% | 13.3% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Youtt | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 6.4% | 12.2% | 19.2% | 23.5% | 16.2% |
| Bailey Adkins | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 11.2% | 16.2% | 22.6% | 28.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.