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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.19+7.64vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara1.67+8.67vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+2.32vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.73+5.99vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06+0.49vs Predicted
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6University of Hawaii1.25+5.88vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+0.97vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.09-2.68vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.44-1.46vs Predicted
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10Tufts University2.40-2.03vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.16-2.28vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.50-4.25vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.65-6.30vs Predicted
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14University of Washington-0.16+1.48vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.56-7.87vs Predicted
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16Tulane University0.48-1.79vs Predicted
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17University of Michigan0.28-2.23vs Predicted
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18University of Minnesota-0.13-2.55vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.64Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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10.67University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
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5.32Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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9.99Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
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5.49Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.88University of Hawaii1.250.0%1st Place
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7.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
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5.32College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.54University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
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7.97Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
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8.72University of South Florida2.160.1%1st Place
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7.75Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
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6.7Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
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15.48University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
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7.13U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
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14.21Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
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14.77University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
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15.45University of Minnesota-0.130.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lola Bushnell | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Madeline Kraus | 1.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 9.4% | 5.6% | 2.7% | 1.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 11.9% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 10.8% | 11.3% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Audrey Giblin | 13.1% | 13.8% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Annika Garrett | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 7.1% | 2.7% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.3% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 12.6% | 13.6% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 6.8% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% |
| Daisy Holthus | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Taylor Gavula | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 13.7% | 23.0% | 31.2% |
| Brittney Slook | 7.8% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Catie Cullen | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 12.7% | 19.2% | 16.1% | 14.1% |
| Sarah Youtt | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 6.4% | 13.3% | 15.8% | 22.4% | 19.3% |
| Bailey Adkins | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 16.1% | 23.2% | 30.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.