← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+7.13vs Predicted
-
2Fordham University1.73+8.44vs Predicted
-
3University of South Florida2.16+5.87vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy2.56+3.11vs Predicted
-
5Dartmouth College3.06+0.47vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University2.19+2.48vs Predicted
-
7University of Hawaii1.25+4.81vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.65-1.16vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University2.50-1.63vs Predicted
-
10Boston College3.15-4.61vs Predicted
-
11University of Washington-0.16+4.64vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-1.32vs Predicted
-
13College of Charleston3.09-7.65vs Predicted
-
14Tufts University2.40-6.50vs Predicted
-
15University of Pennsylvania2.44-7.40vs Predicted
-
16Tulane University0.48-1.82vs Predicted
-
17University of Minnesota-0.13-1.40vs Predicted
-
18University of Michigan0.28-3.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
8.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.1%1st Place
-
10.44Fordham University1.730.0%1st Place
-
8.87University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
-
7.11U. S. Naval Academy2.560.1%1st Place
-
5.47Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
-
8.48Georgetown University2.190.1%1st Place
-
11.81University of Hawaii1.250.0%1st Place
-
6.84Harvard University2.650.1%1st Place
-
7.37Cornell University2.500.1%1st Place
-
5.39Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
15.64University of Washington-0.160.0%1st Place
-
10.68University of California at Santa Barbara1.670.0%1st Place
-
5.35College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
-
7.5Tufts University2.400.1%1st Place
-
7.6University of Pennsylvania2.440.1%1st Place
-
14.18Tulane University0.480.0%1st Place
-
15.6University of Minnesota-0.130.0%1st Place
-
14.55University of Michigan0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Madelynn Widmeier | 5.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Charlotte Leclue | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 8.1% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 0.3% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brittney Slook | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 13.0% | 13.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Annika Garrett | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 13.9% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 2.4% |
| Taylor Gavula | 7.2% | 9.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Daisy Holthus | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 13.1% | 10.6% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shaan Shridhar | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 8.1% | 14.7% | 21.9% | 35.3% |
| Madeline Kraus | 3.1% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 0.7% |
| Paris Henken | 12.7% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Talia Toland | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Catie Cullen | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 13.1% | 19.0% | 17.8% | 12.4% |
| Bailey Adkins | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 8.8% | 14.3% | 23.7% | 32.3% |
| Sarah Youtt | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 14.8% | 16.8% | 21.5% | 16.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.