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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+9.63vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+5.08vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.99+6.13vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.37+3.18vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.05+3.55vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.84+3.57vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.00vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75+1.82vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.22+3.14vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.20-1.78vs Predicted
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11Stanford University2.90-1.55vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island3.37-4.36vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.73-3.15vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.49-3.31vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.20-7.09vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.11-3.32vs Predicted
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17Georgetown University2.76-6.99vs Predicted
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18George Washington University2.58-7.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.63Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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7.08U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.13Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.18College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.55Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.57Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.0Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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9.82Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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12.14University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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8.22Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.45Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.64University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.85University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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10.69Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.91Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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12.68Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.01Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.44George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 4.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.6% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Emma White | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.9% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.6% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 15.5% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.6% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.3% |
| Charlotte List | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 7.5% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.0% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% |
| Sebby Turner | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 20.7% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 4.9% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.