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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+9.61vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.73+8.28vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+5.26vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20+3.88vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+2.25vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.99+2.80vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.76+2.80vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-1.14vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.90+0.20vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.84-0.17vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-0.80vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.11+0.92vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.58-2.50vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.22-2.13vs Predicted
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15Yale University3.05-6.45vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston3.37-8.74vs Predicted
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17Connecticut College2.49-5.77vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.75-8.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.61Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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10.28University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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8.26Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.88Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.25University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.8Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.8Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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6.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.2Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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9.83Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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12.92Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.5George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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11.87University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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8.55Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.26College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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11.23Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.71Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 4.2% | 2.7% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 7.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 1.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.0% | 10.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Emma White | 6.6% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.3% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.8% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% |
| Sebby Turner | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 23.1% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 12.2% | 14.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 2.2% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Charlotte List | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 10.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.