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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+6.47vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.58+8.90vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+7.31vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+2.90vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.99+3.81vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.37+1.24vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.84+2.47vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.34vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.49+2.03vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.76+0.15vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.20-2.93vs Predicted
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12Boston College3.20-3.69vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.75-3.22vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.90-5.08vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.22-2.90vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.05-7.34vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.73-6.85vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.11-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.9George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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6.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.81Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.24College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.47Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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11.03Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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10.15Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.07Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.31Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.78Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.92Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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12.1University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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8.66Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.15University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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12.4Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 7.6% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.6% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 1.0% |
| Emma White | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.7% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.7% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% |
| Charlotte List | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 7.5% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.2% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 16.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.6% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% |
| Sebby Turner | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 17.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.