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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+9.60vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.73+8.29vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.99+6.14vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+5.91vs Predicted
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5Boston University2.84+4.45vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.76+3.87vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+1.56vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.20-0.10vs Predicted
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9Boston College3.20-1.06vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.22+2.42vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-3.94vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.75-1.72vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.37-5.86vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston3.37-7.03vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.90-5.81vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.11-3.34vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.58-6.22vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.49-7.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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10.29University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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9.14Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.91Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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9.45Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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9.87Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.56Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.9Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.94Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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12.42University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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7.06U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.28Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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7.14University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.97College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.19Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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12.66Cornell University2.110.0%1st Place
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10.78George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.84Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 4.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% |
| Emma White | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 2.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 13.1% | 16.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 1.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.6% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 3.0% |
| Sebby Turner | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 12.3% | 19.5% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.9% |
| Charlotte List | 4.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.