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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College2.49+10.36vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+6.29vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.58+8.07vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+5.91vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.77+4.92vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.90+3.41vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.02vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.84+1.61vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+1.21vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.37-2.41vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-0.24vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.99-2.54vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island3.37-5.67vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.22-2.02vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.73-4.90vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.76-5.85vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.05-8.08vs Predicted
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18Boston College3.20-10.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.36Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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8.29Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.07George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.91Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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9.92Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.41Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.61Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.21Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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7.59College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.76Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.46Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.33University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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11.98University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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10.1University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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10.15Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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8.92Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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7.9Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte List | 4.0% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 8.2% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.0% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.9% |
| Annie Hughes | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.9% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 0.8% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% |
| Emma White | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.7% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 16.8% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.