← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+6.30vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+8.87vs Predicted
-
3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+7.47vs Predicted
-
4Brown University3.20+4.05vs Predicted
-
5University of Pennsylvania2.22+7.16vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.75+4.07vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University2.90+2.36vs Predicted
-
8College of Charleston3.37-0.67vs Predicted
-
9Boston College3.20-0.95vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island3.37-2.34vs Predicted
-
11Cornell University2.77-0.84vs Predicted
-
12Connecticut College2.49-0.40vs Predicted
-
13George Washington University2.58-2.35vs Predicted
-
14Georgetown University2.76-4.32vs Predicted
-
15University of South Florida2.73-4.86vs Predicted
-
16Dartmouth College2.99-6.93vs Predicted
-
17Yale University3.05-8.10vs Predicted
-
18Boston University2.84-8.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
10.87Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
-
10.47Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
-
8.05Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
12.16University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
-
10.07Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
-
9.36Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
-
7.33College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
-
8.05Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
7.66University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
10.16Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
-
11.6Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
10.65George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
-
9.68Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
-
10.14University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
-
9.07Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
-
8.9Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
9.49Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 8.2% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.4% | 19.3% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.6% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.6% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% |
| Charlotte List | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 12.8% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.0% |
| Emma White | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.2% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.