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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+9.08vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+8.27vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.20+5.18vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+5.69vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.20+2.94vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.58+4.61vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.05+1.53vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+2.36vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College2.49+1.99vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.90-0.50vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island3.37-3.63vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.73-1.62vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.37-5.89vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.22-2.22vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-8.19vs Predicted
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16Boston University2.12-3.31vs Predicted
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17Dartmouth College2.99-7.95vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.76-8.35vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.08Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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10.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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8.18Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.69Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.94Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.61George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.53Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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10.99Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.5Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.37University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.38University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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7.11College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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11.78University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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6.81U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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12.69Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.05Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.65Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Ladd | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.6% |
| Annie Hughes | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.9% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 5.9% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.8% | 9.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.0% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% |
| Charlotte List | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.8% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 15.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.1% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Grace Mooradian | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 20.2% |
| Emma White | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.