Race 2B

stuart-walker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Felix Nusbaum 7.6% 8.1% 10.4% 11.7% 12.2% 14.3% 13.9% 10.4% 7.0% 3.6% 0.7%
Ocean Smith 15.8% 18.1% 17.2% 15.4% 13.0% 9.5% 6.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.7% 0.0%
Penelope Weekes 15.5% 16.2% 15.3% 15.0% 13.6% 10.4% 8.0% 3.8% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Ian Peterson 6.7% 7.1% 9.4% 9.2% 12.3% 13.8% 13.8% 12.2% 9.2% 4.8% 1.6%
Ryan Petrush 14.8% 15.0% 14.1% 13.5% 13.3% 12.1% 7.9% 5.7% 3.0% 0.5% 0.1%
Zachary Amelotte 28.3% 22.1% 16.4% 14.6% 9.4% 5.0% 2.9% 1.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Rufus Fender-Reid 2.1% 3.1% 3.4% 3.6% 5.2% 7.0% 10.2% 13.6% 16.3% 20.9% 14.5%
Kate Adams 3.1% 3.5% 4.7% 5.6% 7.3% 9.2% 11.5% 15.4% 18.4% 14.4% 6.8%
Aengus Onken 2.8% 3.2% 4.3% 5.3% 7.0% 9.5% 12.8% 15.6% 17.0% 15.4% 7.1%
Yunwen Xu 0.7% 1.1% 1.2% 1.6% 1.8% 2.5% 4.0% 6.4% 9.6% 17.1% 54.2%
Devon Valenta 2.7% 2.5% 3.5% 4.5% 4.9% 6.8% 8.5% 12.8% 17.0% 21.9% 14.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.