Race 1A

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Corina Radtke 5.6% 7.4% 10.0% 11.1% 11.3% 15.2% 14.7% 13.7% 8.8% 2.1% 0.1%
Mayumi Roller 13.3% 14.6% 15.3% 15.1% 13.2% 11.2% 10.1% 5.0% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Sydney Bolger 32.8% 25.7% 18.2% 10.2% 7.7% 3.8% 1.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Amanda Johnson 5.6% 6.9% 8.3% 9.1% 11.9% 14.4% 14.7% 13.5% 11.9% 3.4% 0.3%
Caroline Patten 15.0% 16.6% 15.8% 15.0% 11.4% 9.7% 9.4% 4.7% 2.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Lauren Turner 10.8% 13.3% 13.0% 15.6% 13.2% 12.7% 8.7% 7.7% 4.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Meredith Carroll 5.7% 3.6% 5.0% 7.3% 9.2% 10.1% 12.3% 17.5% 22.3% 6.4% 0.6%
Killian Corbishley 6.6% 6.8% 9.1% 10.5% 12.8% 12.4% 13.2% 12.7% 12.7% 3.1% 0.1%
Ryann Hall 3.8% 4.5% 4.4% 5.4% 7.5% 8.7% 11.8% 18.7% 24.1% 9.1% 2.0%
Catherine Olsen 0.4% 0.4% 0.5% 0.3% 1.2% 1.1% 2.8% 3.5% 6.9% 44.5% 38.4%
Jessie Shifalo 0.4% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.1% 2.7% 4.8% 30.3% 58.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.