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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+6.11vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.20+6.16vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+5.18vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.37+3.18vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.73+4.88vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.99+2.90vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.58+3.63vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.12+4.44vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+1.43vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.77+0.08vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-0.98vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-1.54vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.76-3.32vs Predicted
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14Yale University3.05-5.73vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.22-2.92vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island3.37-8.67vs Predicted
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17Stanford University2.90-7.65vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College2.49-7.19vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.16Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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8.18Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.18College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.88University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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8.9Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.63George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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12.44Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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10.08Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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10.02Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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9.68Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.27Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.08University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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7.33University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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9.35Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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10.81Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.5% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.7% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% |
| Emma White | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.4% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.5% |
| Grace Mooradian | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 19.8% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.4% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.9% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 16.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 7.7% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.3% |
| Charlotte List | 4.1% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.