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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.37+6.58vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.73+8.38vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+7.79vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island3.37+3.34vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.99+3.94vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.77+3.96vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.84+2.60vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.200.00vs Predicted
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9Georgetown University2.76+1.00vs Predicted
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10Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+0.44vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.58-0.11vs Predicted
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12Stanford University2.90-2.26vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.22-0.96vs Predicted
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14Boston College3.20-6.22vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-8.03vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.38-8.57vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.75-6.85vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.98-5.01vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.38University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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10.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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7.34University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.94Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.96Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.6Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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8.0Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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10.0Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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10.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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10.89George Washington University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.74Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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12.04University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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7.78Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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6.97U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.43Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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10.15Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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12.99Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alie Toppa | 7.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.5% |
| Emma White | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.8% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.3% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% |
| Miranda Bakos | 5.1% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 15.6% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.5% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Christine Klingler | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.6% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 13.5% | 21.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.