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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+9.73vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island3.37+5.55vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.25vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.77+5.87vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.73+5.04vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.99+3.02vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+3.15vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.37-0.71vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College1.98+4.19vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.20-1.57vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.20-2.71vs Predicted
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12George Washington University2.58-0.85vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.90-3.80vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.76-4.33vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.84-5.34vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.38-8.66vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.22-4.63vs Predicted
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18Harvard University2.75-8.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.73Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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7.55University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.87Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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10.04University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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9.02Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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10.15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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7.29College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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13.19Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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8.43Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.29Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.15George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.2Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.67Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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9.66Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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7.34Yale University3.380.1%1st Place
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12.37University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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9.79Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 9.2% |
| Sarah Hermus | 6.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.8% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.9% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% |
| Emma White | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.8% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 15.3% | 22.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Lindsey Baab | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.7% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% |
| Julia Lambert | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.8% |
| Christine Klingler | 7.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.2% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 10.8% | 17.9% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.