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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+6.68vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+8.86vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.20+5.37vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.99+4.89vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.90+4.35vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.20+2.13vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+0.01vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.76+1.94vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.05-0.32vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida2.73+0.44vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.75-0.76vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.22+0.64vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.37-5.70vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.49-3.18vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.84-5.37vs Predicted
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16George Washington University2.58-5.12vs Predicted
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17Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-6.69vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.77-8.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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10.86Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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8.37Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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8.89Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.35Stanford University2.900.1%1st Place
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8.13Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.94Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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8.68Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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10.44University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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10.24Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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12.64University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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7.3College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.82Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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9.63Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
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10.88George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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10.31Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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9.84Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 7.6% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.3% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Emma White | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.8% |
| Julia Lambert | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% |
| Dana Rohde | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.5% | 2.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.2% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.8% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 12.4% | 21.8% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.2% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Charlotte List | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 9.9% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.7% |
| Miranda Bakos | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 9.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.