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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+9.45vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.90+7.36vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.22+9.29vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.20+3.79vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+2.14vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.12+6.38vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.77+2.69vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75+1.67vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida2.73+0.87vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-2.98vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.58-0.35vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.05-3.15vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.98-0.21vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.43vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.20-7.22vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.76-6.15vs Predicted
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17College of Charleston3.37-9.71vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College2.99-9.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.45Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.36Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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12.29University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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7.79Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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7.14University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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12.38Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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9.69Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.67Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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9.87University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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7.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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10.65George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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8.85Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.79Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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9.57Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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7.78Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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9.85Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
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7.29College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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8.55Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 2.4% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 2.2% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 12.9% | 14.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.0% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Grace Mooradian | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 17.1% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 3.8% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.8% |
| Sarah Streater | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.9% |
| Dana Rohde | 10.0% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 6.5% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 10.6% | 12.3% | 21.1% |
| Annie Hughes | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.4% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.7% |
| Alie Toppa | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Emma White | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 2.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.