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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+8.95vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.96vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island3.37+4.41vs Predicted
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4Brown University3.20+3.78vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37+2.13vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.76+3.76vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.20+0.84vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.58+2.43vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.77+0.69vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.99-0.95vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.12+1.53vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-1.32vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.73-3.31vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.22-2.32vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College1.98-2.11vs Predicted
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16Stanford University2.90-6.81vs Predicted
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17Yale University3.05-8.37vs Predicted
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18Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-8.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.95Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
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6.96U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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7.41University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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7.78Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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7.13College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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9.76Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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7.84Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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10.43George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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9.69Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
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9.05Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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12.53Boston University2.120.0%1st Place
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10.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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9.69University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
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11.68University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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12.89Connecticut College1.980.0%1st Place
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9.19Stanford University2.900.0%1st Place
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8.63Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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9.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taylor Ladd | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 4.3% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% |
| Sarah Hermus | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.5% |
| Alie Toppa | 8.8% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.7% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.5% |
| Emma White | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.2% |
| Grace Mooradian | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 13.2% | 17.9% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 13.3% |
| Emilia Clementi | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 21.6% |
| Julia Lambert | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.1% |
| Casey Klingler | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.