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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+9.24vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+8.68vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+4.16vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+5.83vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island3.37+2.30vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.99+2.90vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.84+2.55vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.58+2.60vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.37-1.80vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University2.76+0.19vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.20-2.83vs Predicted
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12Connecticut College2.49-0.58vs Predicted
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13Boston College3.20-5.13vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida2.73-4.26vs Predicted
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15Cornell University2.77-5.16vs Predicted
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16Yale University3.05-7.34vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.22-4.68vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.38-6.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
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10.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
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7.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.83Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.3University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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8.9Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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9.55Boston University2.840.1%1st Place
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10.6George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
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7.2College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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10.19Georgetown University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.17Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
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11.42Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.87Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
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9.74University of South Florida2.730.0%1st Place
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9.84Cornell University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.66Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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12.32University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
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11.33Stanford University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Annie Hughes | 4.6% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 6.2% |
| Bailey Carter | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% |
| Taylor Ladd | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.1% |
| Sarah Hermus | 8.9% | 10.4% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Emma White | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Rose Edwards | 5.5% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.5% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.0% |
| Charlotte List | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 11.0% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 1.1% |
| Sarah Streater | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% |
| Gabby Rizika | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% |
| Casey Klingler | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.8% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 17.9% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 11.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.