← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+6.21vs Predicted
-
2College of Charleston3.37+5.40vs Predicted
-
3Boston University2.84+6.80vs Predicted
-
4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+6.36vs Predicted
-
5Connecticut College2.49+5.93vs Predicted
-
6Yale University3.05+2.66vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.99+1.90vs Predicted
-
8Harvard University2.75+1.88vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University2.77+0.88vs Predicted
-
10University of South Florida2.73+0.35vs Predicted
-
11Georgetown University2.76-0.90vs Predicted
-
12Brown University3.20-3.68vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island3.37-5.85vs Predicted
-
14George Washington University2.58-3.67vs Predicted
-
15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-4.98vs Predicted
-
16Boston College3.20-7.97vs Predicted
-
17University of Pennsylvania2.22-4.67vs Predicted
-
18Stanford University2.38-6.64vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
7.4College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
-
9.8Boston University2.840.0%1st Place
-
10.36Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.0%1st Place
-
10.93Connecticut College2.490.0%1st Place
-
8.66Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
-
8.9Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
-
9.88Harvard University2.750.0%1st Place
-
9.88Cornell University2.770.0%1st Place
-
10.35University of South Florida2.730.1%1st Place
-
10.1Georgetown University2.760.0%1st Place
-
8.32Brown University3.200.1%1st Place
-
7.15University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
10.33George Washington University2.580.0%1st Place
-
10.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.0%1st Place
-
8.03Boston College3.200.1%1st Place
-
12.33University of Pennsylvania2.220.0%1st Place
-
11.36Stanford University2.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dana Rohde | 8.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Alie Toppa | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Lydia Grasberger | 4.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% |
| Charlotte List | 4.1% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.6% |
| Casey Klingler | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Emma White | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.1% |
| Taylor Ladd | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 3.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% |
| Gabby Rizika | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
| Sarah Streater | 5.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% |
| Rose Edwards | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.0% |
| Lindsey Baab | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Miranda Bakos | 4.2% | 3.5% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% |
| Annie Hughes | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.8% |
| Isabella Loosbrock | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 1.9% |
| Carolyn Kearney | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 12.0% | 18.4% |
| Christina Sakellaris | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 12.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.