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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+7.29vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+9.54vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+4.22vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island2.36+7.04vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.50+5.46vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.15+1.75vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.50+3.54vs Predicted
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8Boston University3.35-1.05vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania2.44+1.79vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+1.54vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-3.52vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.72-6.11vs Predicted
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13Georgetown University2.19-1.30vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.63-4.27vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.76-5.63vs Predicted
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16University of South Florida2.16-3.93vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.50-6.26vs Predicted
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18Dartmouth College3.06-10.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.29College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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11.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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7.22Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.04University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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10.46Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.75Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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10.54Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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6.95Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.79University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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11.54Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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7.48Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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5.89Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.7Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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9.73Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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9.37George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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12.07University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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10.74Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.91Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 10.1% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.5% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.4% |
| Daisy Holthus | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.3% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 1.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.3% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Ava Esquier | 2.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.5% |
| Emily Haig | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.5% | 13.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 13.1% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
| Riley Legault | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 10.7% | 15.4% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 3.7% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.