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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+10.38vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+5.23vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston3.09+5.27vs Predicted
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4Boston College3.15+3.71vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+2.35vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+5.29vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.50+3.59vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College3.06+0.08vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.72-3.52vs Predicted
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10Connecticut College2.50+0.83vs Predicted
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11George Washington University2.76-1.38vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.36-0.51vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.35-6.14vs Predicted
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14Georgetown University2.19-2.51vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.63-5.03vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.50-5.38vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.44-6.03vs Predicted
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18University of South Florida2.16-6.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.38Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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7.23Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.27College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.71Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.35Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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11.29U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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10.59Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.08Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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5.48Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.83Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.62George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.49University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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6.86Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.49Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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9.97Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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10.62Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.97University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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11.77University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine Cox | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 10.9% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 6.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.6% |
| Paris Henken | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| Emily Haig | 8.5% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.4% |
| Daisy Holthus | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.6% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.1% | 12.7% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.4% |
| Riley Legault | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% |
| Delaney Bamford | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 11.3% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 11.3% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 7.3% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.8% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 13.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.