← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+6.58vs Predicted
-
2George Washington University2.76+7.71vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+8.59vs Predicted
-
4Cornell University2.50+6.40vs Predicted
-
5Boston College3.15+2.74vs Predicted
-
6College of Charleston3.09+2.06vs Predicted
-
7Stanford University2.62+2.98vs Predicted
-
8University of South Florida2.16+3.87vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College3.06-0.93vs Predicted
-
10Brown University3.72-4.21vs Predicted
-
11Connecticut College2.50-0.27vs Predicted
-
12Yale University3.33-4.58vs Predicted
-
13University of Rhode Island2.36-2.04vs Predicted
-
14Boston University3.35-7.26vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University2.50-4.53vs Predicted
-
16University of Pennsylvania2.44-5.17vs Predicted
-
17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-5.61vs Predicted
-
18Georgetown University2.19-6.34vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
-
9.71George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
-
11.59Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
-
10.4Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
-
7.74Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
8.06College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
-
9.98Stanford University2.620.0%1st Place
-
11.87University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
-
8.07Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
-
5.79Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
-
10.73Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
-
7.42Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
10.96University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
-
6.74Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
10.47Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
-
10.83University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
-
11.39U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
-
11.66Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% |
| Riley Legault | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% |
| Katherine Cox | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 10.6% |
| Daisy Holthus | 4.2% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Paris Henken | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% |
| Stephanie Houck | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 13.4% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.7% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.1% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 10.9% | 10.9% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 12.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.