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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+6.98vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+9.51vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island2.36+8.40vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+3.03vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.44+5.72vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.09+2.06vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+0.32vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida2.16+3.79vs Predicted
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9Stanford University2.62+1.04vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.72-4.21vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.50-0.38vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.50-1.02vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.35-6.10vs Predicted
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14Cornell University2.50-3.77vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.19-3.26vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College3.06-7.71vs Predicted
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17George Washington University2.76-7.45vs Predicted
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18Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-6.94vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.98Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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11.4University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.03Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.72University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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8.06College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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11.79University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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10.04Stanford University2.620.0%1st Place
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5.79Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.62Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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10.98Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.9Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.23Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.74Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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8.29Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.55George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.8% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 9.6% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 9.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.8% |
| Paris Henken | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Emily Haig | 8.7% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 11.9% | 13.1% |
| Stephanie Houck | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 4.6% | 4.3% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.0% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Daisy Holthus | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 13.4% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% |
| Riley Legault | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.5% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.