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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.50+9.50vs Predicted
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2Connecticut College2.50+8.55vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+4.36vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.33+2.71vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.36+5.83vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.09+1.79vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.35-0.32vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.18-0.63vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.49+1.36vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.15-2.18vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.16+0.89vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.50-1.29vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-2.24vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.62-4.53vs Predicted
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15George Washington University2.76-5.87vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.25-4.55vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-5.83vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.43-7.56vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.5Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.55Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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7.36Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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6.71Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.83University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.79College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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6.68Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.37Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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10.36Dartmouth College2.490.0%1st Place
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7.82Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.89University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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10.71Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.47Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.13George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.45Georgetown University2.250.0%1st Place
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11.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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10.44University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisy Holthus | 4.3% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.2% |
| Emily Haig | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.0% |
| Paris Henken | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.1% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.0% |
| Kathryn Hall | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 4.7% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 4.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 13.9% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.9% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% |
| Stephanie Houck | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 3.7% |
| Riley Legault | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Marley Mais | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 10.0% | 12.6% |
| Katherine Cox | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 9.8% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.