← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Boston College3.15+6.89vs Predicted
-
2Connecticut College2.50+8.73vs Predicted
-
3Cornell University2.50+7.77vs Predicted
-
4Boston University3.35+2.81vs Predicted
-
5Yale University3.33+1.89vs Predicted
-
6University of Rhode Island2.36+5.08vs Predicted
-
7George Washington University2.76+2.30vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-0.83vs Predicted
-
9College of Charleston3.09-1.16vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+1.37vs Predicted
-
11Brown University3.18-3.36vs Predicted
-
12University of South Florida2.16+0.25vs Predicted
-
13Georgetown University2.25-1.66vs Predicted
-
14Stanford University2.62-4.41vs Predicted
-
15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-3.87vs Predicted
-
16Harvard University2.50-5.52vs Predicted
-
17Dartmouth College3.06-8.87vs Predicted
-
18University of Pennsylvania2.43-7.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.89Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
-
10.73Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
-
10.77Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
-
6.81Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
-
6.89Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
-
11.08University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
-
9.3George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
-
7.17Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
-
7.84College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
-
11.37U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
-
7.64Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
-
12.25University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
-
11.34Georgetown University2.250.0%1st Place
-
9.59Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
-
11.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
-
10.48Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
-
8.13Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
-
10.59University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% |
| Daisy Holthus | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 6.6% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.5% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.9% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 10.2% | 10.9% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.7% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.9% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% |
| Riley Legault | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% |
| Emily Haig | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Paris Henken | 6.4% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.9% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.8% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.3% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 16.7% |
| Marley Mais | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 10.9% |
| Stephanie Houck | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.7% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.8% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.4% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Lenox Butcher | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.