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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.50+9.68vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+5.10vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+4.92vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+2.81vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+2.24vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston3.09+1.90vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College2.50+3.48vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76+1.19vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+2.17vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College3.06-1.68vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36+0.21vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.25-0.12vs Predicted
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13University of South Florida2.16-1.31vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-3.22vs Predicted
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15Stanford University2.62-5.12vs Predicted
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16Brown University3.18-8.44vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.50-6.37vs Predicted
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18University of Pennsylvania2.43-7.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.68Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.1Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.92Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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6.81Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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7.9College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.48Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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9.19George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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8.32Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.21University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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11.88Georgetown University2.250.0%1st Place
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11.69University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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10.78U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.88Stanford University2.620.0%1st Place
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7.56Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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10.63Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.57University of Pennsylvania2.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Daisy Holthus | 3.9% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.5% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Maia Agerup | 10.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Emily Haig | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% |
| Paris Henken | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.6% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% |
| Riley Legault | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.5% |
| Audrey Giblin | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.3% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% |
| Marley Mais | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 14.8% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 10.6% | 14.1% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.3% |
| Stephanie Houck | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% |
| Hannah Steadman | 6.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% |
| Lenox Butcher | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.