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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+6.32vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+5.54vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+5.04vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.09+3.96vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College2.50+5.44vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06+2.18vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.76+2.42vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island2.36+3.01vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.72-3.48vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.63+0.29vs Predicted
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11Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+0.39vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.50-1.05vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.35-6.13vs Predicted
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14University of Pennsylvania2.44-3.52vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-3.83vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.65-6.00vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida2.16-4.85vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.04-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.32Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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7.54Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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8.04Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.96College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.44Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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8.18Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.42George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.01University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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5.52Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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10.29Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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11.39Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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10.95Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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6.87Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.48University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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11.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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10.0Harvard University2.650.0%1st Place
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12.15University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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12.25Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Emily Haig | 6.4% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Paris Henken | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 7.3% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.2% |
| Riley Legault | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.9% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.1% | 13.5% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 9.6% |
| Daisy Holthus | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 8.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.4% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 9.2% |
| Taylor Gavula | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.8% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.9% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 14.8% |
| Macey McCann | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 15.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.