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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.72+4.78vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.15+5.97vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+4.19vs Predicted
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4Boston University3.35+2.86vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.09+3.00vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+5.22vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+4.16vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-0.73vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.50+1.56vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.76-0.34vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36+0.30vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.06-3.52vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.63-3.18vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College2.50-3.82vs Predicted
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15University of South Florida2.16-3.12vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.50-5.46vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.44-6.12vs Predicted
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18Georgetown University2.04-5.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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7.97Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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7.19Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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6.86Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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8.0College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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11.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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11.16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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7.27Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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10.56Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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9.66George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.3University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.48Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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9.82Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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10.18Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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11.88University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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10.54Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.88University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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12.25Georgetown University2.040.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ragna Agerup | 11.8% | 13.1% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Reineke | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.9% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Paris Henken | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.5% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 10.9% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% |
| Emily Haig | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Daisy Holthus | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 5.5% |
| Riley Legault | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.2% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.1% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% |
| Audrey Giblin | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 1.4% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 4.1% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 13.6% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.7% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.8% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 7.9% |
| Macey McCann | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 16.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.