Race 3A

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sydney Bolger 35.5% 26.4% 17.5% 11.2% 6.2% 2.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Patten 15.3% 16.3% 17.6% 16.2% 13.4% 10.2% 6.8% 3.6% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
Mayumi Roller 12.2% 13.0% 17.4% 14.6% 15.3% 13.3% 8.9% 4.0% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryann Hall 3.3% 3.8% 4.4% 6.7% 8.0% 10.9% 17.2% 21.4% 18.0% 5.7% 0.6%
Amanda Johnson 6.6% 8.3% 9.7% 12.8% 13.4% 14.7% 12.6% 13.5% 6.5% 1.9% 0.0%
Meredith Carroll 3.5% 4.7% 5.7% 7.3% 9.8% 11.7% 17.3% 19.2% 15.0% 4.8% 1.0%
Corina Radtke 7.8% 10.1% 10.1% 12.5% 14.2% 17.0% 12.2% 9.7% 5.1% 1.1% 0.2%
Laura Burzenski 1.9% 1.8% 1.4% 2.6% 3.6% 6.0% 10.1% 15.1% 32.5% 19.9% 5.1%
Catherine Olsen 0.5% 0.4% 0.9% 0.4% 1.3% 1.9% 2.6% 4.6% 11.9% 36.5% 39.0%
Lauren Turner 12.9% 15.0% 15.1% 15.3% 14.1% 10.7% 10.1% 4.5% 1.9% 0.4% 0.0%
Jessie Shifalo 0.5% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 1.2% 1.6% 4.2% 7.3% 29.6% 54.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.