Race 4B

stuart-walker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ocean Smith 17.1% 17.8% 17.6% 16.0% 12.4% 9.7% 6.1% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Zachary Amelotte 28.9% 22.7% 17.1% 13.7% 10.2% 4.5% 2.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
Ryan Petrush 13.4% 15.0% 15.5% 14.9% 14.8% 12.3% 7.1% 4.6% 2.2% 0.1%
Penelope Weekes 16.8% 17.1% 16.4% 16.2% 12.8% 9.9% 7.0% 2.5% 1.1% 0.1%
Felix Nusbaum 8.0% 9.1% 9.4% 11.2% 14.6% 15.4% 14.0% 10.9% 5.5% 1.9%
Kate Adams 3.5% 3.8% 5.2% 6.6% 7.7% 11.1% 14.8% 19.5% 18.9% 9.0%
Ian Peterson 6.6% 7.3% 8.8% 9.8% 12.0% 15.2% 16.4% 13.3% 8.6% 2.0%
Aengus Onken 3.3% 3.8% 4.6% 6.0% 8.6% 10.4% 14.1% 20.6% 18.9% 9.7%
Devon Valenta 1.8% 2.1% 3.6% 4.2% 4.7% 7.8% 13.0% 16.2% 27.3% 19.4%
Yunwen Xu 0.9% 1.4% 1.8% 1.6% 2.1% 3.5% 5.5% 9.2% 16.6% 57.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.