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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.09+7.25vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+5.51vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.33+4.25vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.50+6.41vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.06+3.13vs Predicted
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6Stanford University2.63+4.07vs Predicted
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7George Washington University2.76+2.38vs Predicted
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8Brown University3.72-2.42vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+2.26vs Predicted
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10Boston College3.15-1.93vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida2.16+1.05vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania2.44-0.84vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.50-2.63vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.35-7.25vs Predicted
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15Georgetown University2.19-3.22vs Predicted
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16Harvard University2.50-5.38vs Predicted
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17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-5.63vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.36-7.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.25College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.51Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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7.25Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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10.41Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.13Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.07Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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9.38George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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5.58Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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8.07Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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12.05University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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11.16University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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10.37Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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6.75Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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11.78Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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10.62Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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11.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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10.98University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Henken | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.5% |
| Emily Haig | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% |
| Daisy Holthus | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 7.5% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.0% | 8.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.8% |
| Riley Legault | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.1% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.4% | 13.1% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 3.7% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 14.4% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.2% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 9.5% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.8% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Lola Bushnell | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 12.6% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.3% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.