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📊 Prediction Accuracy
16.7%
Within 2 Positions
5.1
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.15+7.02vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+9.51vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.50+7.80vs Predicted
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4College of Charleston3.09+3.98vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.76+4.35vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.50+4.55vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.06+1.12vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.19+3.70vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+2.24vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania2.44+1.06vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.33-3.80vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida2.16+0.32vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College2.50-2.63vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-6.90vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.72-9.43vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.36-4.78vs Predicted
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17Boston University3.35-9.94vs Predicted
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18Stanford University2.63-8.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.02Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.51U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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10.8Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.98College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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9.35George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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10.55Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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8.12Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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11.7Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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11.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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11.06University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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7.2Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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12.32University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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10.37Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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7.1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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5.57Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.22University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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7.06Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.83Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophia Reineke | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% |
| Daisy Holthus | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 6.1% |
| Paris Henken | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% |
| Riley Legault | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.1% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.8% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.9% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 13.3% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.6% | 7.3% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.7% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 16.0% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.4% |
| Emily Haig | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 12.5% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Delaney Bamford | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.