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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.33+6.30vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.09+6.22vs Predicted
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3Boston College3.15+4.95vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+7.06vs Predicted
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5University of South Florida2.16+6.81vs Predicted
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6Brown University3.72-0.44vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+4.20vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.76+1.29vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College3.06-0.95vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.15+2.20vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College2.50-0.33vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University2.19+0.15vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.35-6.13vs Predicted
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14Stanford University2.63-4.35vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.50-4.56vs Predicted
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16Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26-8.63vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.44-6.12vs Predicted
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18Cornell University2.50-7.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.3Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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8.22College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.95Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.06Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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11.81University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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5.56Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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11.2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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9.29George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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8.05Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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12.2University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
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10.67Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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12.15Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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6.87Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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9.65Stanford University2.630.1%1st Place
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10.44Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.37Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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10.88University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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10.32Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Paris Henken | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 0.6% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% |
| Katherine Cox | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 10.1% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 13.7% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.5% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.7% |
| Riley Legault | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.1% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% |
| Rebecca Read | 3.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 10.3% | 11.2% | 14.4% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.2% |
| Lola Bushnell | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 15.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.4% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.6% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.7% | 2.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% |
| Emily Haig | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 6.9% |
| Daisy Holthus | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.