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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+6.52vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34+9.48vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.16+9.21vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.50+6.30vs Predicted
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5Boston College3.15+2.69vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College3.06+2.12vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.50+3.47vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College2.50+2.44vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.72-3.56vs Predicted
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10College of Charleston3.09-1.77vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.35-4.00vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.33-4.61vs Predicted
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13Stanford University2.63-3.16vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.76-4.91vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33-3.80vs Predicted
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16Georgetown University2.19-4.13vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania2.44-6.08vs Predicted
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18University of Rhode Island2.15-6.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.52Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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11.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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12.21University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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10.3Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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7.69Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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8.12Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.47Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.44Connecticut College2.500.0%1st Place
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5.44Brown University3.720.1%1st Place
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8.23College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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7.0Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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7.39Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.84Stanford University2.630.0%1st Place
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9.09George Washington University2.760.1%1st Place
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11.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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11.87Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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10.92University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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11.8University of Rhode Island2.150.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 7.6% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 9.5% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 14.8% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.5% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.5% |
| Sophia Reineke | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Audrey Giblin | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Daisy Holthus | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 5.8% |
| Alexandra Maurillo | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% |
| Ragna Agerup | 13.3% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Paris Henken | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 1.2% |
| Maia Agerup | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Maria El-Khazindar | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% |
| Riley Legault | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% |
| Lola Bushnell | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 13.9% |
| Ava Esquier | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 8.7% |
| Rebecca Read | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 12.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.