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📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.26+6.24vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.33+4.85vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.16+8.79vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College3.06+3.74vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.50+5.13vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.33+4.93vs Predicted
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7Boston College3.15+0.48vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.19+3.33vs Predicted
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9George Washington University2.76+0.07vs Predicted
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10Stanford University2.62-0.06vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island2.36-0.09vs Predicted
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12College of Charleston3.09-3.95vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania2.44-2.72vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.18-6.94vs Predicted
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15Boston University3.35-8.40vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.34-5.08vs Predicted
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17Harvard University2.50-6.71vs Predicted
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18Connecticut College1.33-3.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.24Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.260.1%1st Place
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6.85Yale University3.330.1%1st Place
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11.79University of South Florida2.160.0%1st Place
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7.74Dartmouth College3.060.1%1st Place
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10.13Cornell University2.500.0%1st Place
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10.93Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.330.0%1st Place
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7.48Boston College3.150.1%1st Place
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11.33Georgetown University2.190.0%1st Place
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9.07George Washington University2.760.0%1st Place
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9.94Stanford University2.620.1%1st Place
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10.91University of Rhode Island2.360.0%1st Place
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8.05College of Charleston3.090.1%1st Place
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10.28University of Pennsylvania2.440.0%1st Place
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7.06Brown University3.180.1%1st Place
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6.6Boston University3.350.1%1st Place
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10.92U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.340.0%1st Place
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10.29Harvard University2.500.0%1st Place
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14.4Connecticut College1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Haig | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Louisa Nordstrom | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Marina Barzaghi | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 12.0% | 9.1% |
| Audrey Giblin | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.4% |
| Daisy Holthus | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 5.0% |
| Katherine Cox | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% |
| Sophia Reineke | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Lola Bushnell | 3.2% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% |
| Riley Legault | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 1.6% |
| Stephanie Houck | 5.8% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.8% |
| Delaney Bamford | 4.4% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.6% |
| Paris Henken | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 0.5% |
| Ava Esquier | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% |
| Hannah Steadman | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Maia Agerup | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Madelynn Widmeier | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.1% | 6.6% |
| Lucy Wilmot | 4.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 3.9% |
| Haley Kachmar | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 37.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.