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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+5.56vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.77+4.17vs Predicted
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3College of Charleston4.09+2.27vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+1.34vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.24-0.29vs Predicted
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6George Washington University3.41+1.58vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.50+0.19vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-0.79vs Predicted
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9Boston University2.97+0.08vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-1.47vs Predicted
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11Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-2.24vs Predicted
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12Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+0.88vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University3.43-5.53vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.08-3.25vs Predicted
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16University of Notre Dame1.24-2.37vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University1.03-2.84vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-1.34-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.56U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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6.17Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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5.27College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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5.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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4.71Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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7.58George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.19Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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7.21U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.08Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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8.53University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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8.76Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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12.88Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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7.47Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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11.75University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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13.63University of Notre Dame1.240.0%1st Place
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14.16Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
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16.73University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 9.6% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.5% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 11.2% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 13.4% | 11.1% | 10.5% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.2% | 14.0% | 14.6% | 12.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 3.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.4% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| John Hanna | 4.4% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 11.7% | 11.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 18.5% | 21.7% | 17.8% | 1.7% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 19.3% | 15.5% | 8.3% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 13.5% | 23.5% | 29.3% | 3.7% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 21.6% | 34.0% | 6.6% |
| Aaron Comen | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 7.4% | 87.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.