← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1College of Charleston4.09+4.18vs Predicted
-
2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+3.22vs Predicted
-
3George Washington University3.41+4.42vs Predicted
-
4U. S. Naval Academy3.63+2.81vs Predicted
-
5Old Dominion University3.50+1.99vs Predicted
-
6Yale University4.24-1.00vs Predicted
-
7Jacksonville University3.43+0.42vs Predicted
-
8Boston University2.97+0.74vs Predicted
-
9Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-0.15vs Predicted
-
10Roger Williams University3.77-3.79vs Predicted
-
11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-3.52vs Predicted
-
12University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-3.43vs Predicted
-
14University of Notre Dame1.24-0.34vs Predicted
-
15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-2.02vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin2.08-4.39vs Predicted
-
17Western Washington University1.03-2.87vs Predicted
-
18University of Texas-1.34-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.18College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
-
5.22Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
-
7.42George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
-
6.81U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
-
6.99Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
-
5.0Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
-
7.42Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
-
8.74Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
-
8.85Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
-
6.21Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
-
7.48U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
-
8.57University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
-
13.66University of Notre Dame1.240.0%1st Place
-
12.98Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
-
11.61University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
-
14.13Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
-
16.73University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 13.9% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 12.4% | 12.9% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 11.4% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 12.8% | 11.2% | 13.7% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| John Hanna | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 8.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 6.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 0.6% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 8.2% | 15.2% | 22.9% | 28.4% | 5.2% |
| Ben Brough | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 16.7% | 22.6% | 19.4% | 1.6% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 13.5% | 19.0% | 14.0% | 8.0% | 0.4% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 12.9% | 23.7% | 33.1% | 5.8% |
| Aaron Comen | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 7.8% | 87.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.