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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston4.09+4.17vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University3.77+4.18vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy3.63+3.74vs Predicted
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4Yale University4.24+0.90vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+0.13vs Predicted
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6George Washington University3.41+1.57vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University3.43+0.40vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University3.50-0.96vs Predicted
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9Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61+4.00vs Predicted
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10Boston University2.97-1.18vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-3.59vs Predicted
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12University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-3.46vs Predicted
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14University of Wisconsin2.08-2.28vs Predicted
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15Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-6.17vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University1.03-1.96vs Predicted
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17University of Notre Dame1.24-3.22vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-1.34-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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6.18Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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6.74U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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4.9Yale University4.240.1%1st Place
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5.13Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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7.57George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.4Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.04Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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13.0Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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8.82Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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7.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.54University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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11.72University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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8.83Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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14.04Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
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13.78University of Notre Dame1.240.0%1st Place
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16.72University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stefano Peschiera | 13.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 14.5% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 11.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 8.3% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ben Brough | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 18.5% | 22.5% | 16.9% | 2.1% |
| Robby Gearon | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Charles Bocklet | 2.1% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 15.0% | 16.9% | 14.8% | 8.0% | 1.4% |
| John Hanna | 2.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 8.7% | 11.3% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 12.0% | 21.3% | 36.7% | 5.3% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 15.2% | 23.9% | 28.5% | 3.6% |
| Aaron Comen | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 87.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.