← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Vermont-0.34+2.65vs Predicted
-
2University of Vermont0.18+0.77vs Predicted
-
3Williams College-0.90+2.18vs Predicted
-
4Middlebury College-0.37-0.25vs Predicted
-
5University of Vermont-0.62-0.86vs Predicted
-
6University of New Hampshire-2.40+1.50vs Predicted
-
7University of New Hampshire-1.30-1.60vs Predicted
-
8Middlebury College-1.97-1.06vs Predicted
-
9Middlebury College-1.97-2.20vs Predicted
-
10Amherst College-3.33-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.65University of Vermont-0.3416.7%1st Place
-
2.77University of Vermont0.1832.0%1st Place
-
5.18Williams College-0.908.0%1st Place
-
3.75Middlebury College-0.3714.8%1st Place
-
4.14University of Vermont-0.6212.5%1st Place
-
7.5University of New Hampshire-2.402.1%1st Place
-
5.4University of New Hampshire-1.306.6%1st Place
-
6.94Middlebury College-1.972.5%1st Place
-
6.8Middlebury College-1.974.0%1st Place
-
8.87Amherst College-3.330.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ocean Smith | 16.7% | 16.4% | 18.4% | 16.6% | 12.6% | 10.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Amelotte | 32.0% | 20.8% | 15.9% | 14.1% | 9.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 8.0% | 9.2% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 14.8% | 11.2% | 5.9% | 1.5% |
| Penelope Weekes | 14.8% | 18.1% | 16.6% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 10.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Petrush | 12.5% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 15.6% | 16.1% | 12.7% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Devon Valenta | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 18.2% | 25.7% | 18.1% |
| Ian Peterson | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 12.5% | 16.1% | 16.4% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 2.1% |
| Kate Adams | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 18.8% | 21.3% | 9.9% |
| Aengus Onken | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 15.2% | 20.5% | 19.2% | 9.5% |
| Yunwen Xu | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 16.7% | 58.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.