Race 4A

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

72.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Mayumi Roller 10.6% 16.7% 15.7% 16.5% 15.7% 13.7% 6.7% 3.2% 1.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Caroline Patten 14.9% 16.8% 18.8% 15.0% 14.4% 8.5% 7.4% 3.3% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0%
Corina Radtke 6.9% 7.4% 9.1% 12.7% 13.9% 14.8% 15.8% 13.0% 5.4% 1.0% 0.0%
Amanda Johnson 5.9% 7.5% 8.5% 11.3% 13.8% 15.4% 15.9% 13.2% 6.8% 1.6% 0.1%
Lauren Turner 11.6% 14.4% 15.8% 14.9% 15.3% 11.2% 8.2% 6.1% 2.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Meredith Carroll 3.7% 4.1% 6.7% 6.9% 9.3% 12.9% 15.7% 21.0% 12.9% 6.0% 0.8%
Sydney Bolger 40.3% 25.7% 16.7% 10.1% 4.0% 2.1% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryann Hall 3.9% 4.5% 5.5% 8.0% 9.2% 13.8% 16.0% 16.9% 16.8% 4.9% 0.5%
Laura Burzenski 1.4% 2.5% 2.0% 3.2% 2.9% 4.8% 8.7% 14.4% 32.6% 20.0% 7.5%
Catherine Olsen 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 0.9% 1.1% 2.0% 2.7% 5.5% 12.3% 38.7% 35.4%
Jessie Shifalo 0.4% 0.1% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.8% 2.1% 3.2% 8.7% 27.6% 55.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.