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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.77+5.13vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+4.62vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.50+4.15vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+1.34vs Predicted
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5Yale University4.24-0.26vs Predicted
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6University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+2.77vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+1.67vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston4.09-3.81vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-2.51vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.97-2.15vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.41-4.45vs Predicted
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13Jacksonville University3.43-5.65vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame1.24-0.30vs Predicted
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15Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-2.01vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin2.08-4.41vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University1.03-2.86vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-1.34-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.13Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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6.62U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.15Old Dominion University3.500.1%1st Place
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5.34Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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4.74Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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8.77University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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8.67Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.0%1st Place
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5.19College of Charleston4.090.1%1st Place
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7.49U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.85Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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7.55George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.35Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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13.7University of Notre Dame1.240.0%1st Place
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12.99Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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11.59University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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14.14Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
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16.73University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jeremy Herrin | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 12.2% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.8% | 12.7% | 16.1% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 4.4% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 2.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Hanna | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.0% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Stefano Peschiera | 13.4% | 13.3% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 15.2% | 22.9% | 28.8% | 5.2% |
| Ben Brough | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 16.8% | 22.8% | 19.4% | 1.6% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 19.3% | 13.3% | 8.2% | 0.4% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 12.4% | 24.7% | 33.0% | 5.8% |
| Aaron Comen | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 7.7% | 87.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.