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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.55+8.56vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+2.79vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.77+2.79vs Predicted
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4University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+4.13vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45+1.76vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.97+2.61vs Predicted
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7Yale University4.24-2.56vs Predicted
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8George Washington University3.41-1.18vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy3.30-1.53vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University3.43-3.23vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston3.23-3.38vs Predicted
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12Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04-3.85vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University1.03+0.92vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.08-3.59vs Predicted
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16University of Notre Dame1.24-2.63vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-4.35vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-1.34-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.56Old Dominion University2.550.0%1st Place
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4.79Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.1%1st Place
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5.79Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.13University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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6.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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8.61Boston University2.970.0%1st Place
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4.44Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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6.82George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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7.47U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.77Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.62College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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8.15Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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13.92Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
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11.41University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Notre Dame1.240.0%1st Place
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12.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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16.73University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| James Jacob | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 12.4% | 10.6% | 6.2% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 14.5% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 12.5% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 10.8% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 8.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 15.4% | 15.4% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 9.2% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Parker Loftus | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Hanna | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 0.5% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 5.7% | 11.9% | 21.8% | 34.4% | 6.9% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 14.6% | 8.2% | 0.3% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 0.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 12.5% | 21.7% | 28.1% | 3.6% |
| Ben Brough | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 18.9% | 18.1% | 17.4% | 1.1% |
| Aaron Comen | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 88.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.