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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.30+6.15vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.41+4.92vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.08+1.84vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University3.43+2.95vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.23+2.37vs Predicted
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6Yale University4.24-1.49vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University3.77-1.26vs Predicted
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8Texas A&M University at Galveston3.04+0.04vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.45-2.01vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University2.55-0.26vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-2.76vs Predicted
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12Boston University2.97-3.61vs Predicted
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14University of Notre Dame1.24-0.54vs Predicted
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15University of Wisconsin2.08-3.55vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University1.03-2.16vs Predicted
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17Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.61-4.35vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-1.34-1.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.15U. S. Naval Academy3.300.1%1st Place
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6.92George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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4.84Hobart and William Smith Colleges4.080.2%1st Place
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6.95Jacksonville University3.430.1%1st Place
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7.37College of Charleston3.230.1%1st Place
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4.51Yale University4.240.2%1st Place
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5.74Roger Williams University3.770.1%1st Place
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8.04Texas A&M University at Galveston3.040.1%1st Place
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6.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.450.1%1st Place
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9.74Old Dominion University2.550.0%1st Place
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8.24University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.1%1st Place
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8.39Boston University2.970.1%1st Place
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13.46University of Notre Dame1.240.0%1st Place
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11.45University of Wisconsin2.080.0%1st Place
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13.84Western Washington University1.030.0%1st Place
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12.65Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.610.0%1st Place
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16.73University of Texas-1.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Loftus | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Greiner Hobbs | 15.2% | 12.9% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 10.5% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alfonso Garcia Bringas | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Brown | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Baird | 16.2% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mackenzie Bryan | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Hanna | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Dana Rohde | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| James Jacob | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 11.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Robby Gearon | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Kevin Gallagher | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 14.4% | 23.0% | 26.1% | 5.2% |
| Charles Bocklet | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 16.1% | 14.7% | 8.4% | 0.3% |
| Dillon Kilroy | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 11.2% | 19.4% | 36.2% | 5.5% |
| Ben Brough | 1.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 19.3% | 17.6% | 17.7% | 1.0% |
| Aaron Comen | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 87.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.