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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.89+6.38vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.22+4.35vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.71+2.02vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40+2.01vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.93-0.66vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.72+2.24vs Predicted
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7Jacksonville University1.88+3.72vs Predicted
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8U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20-1.50vs Predicted
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9College of Charleston3.75-3.97vs Predicted
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10University of California at Santa Barbara2.73-1.98vs Predicted
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11Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.18+1.69vs Predicted
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12University of Wisconsin2.24-2.38vs Predicted
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13Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91-2.26vs Predicted
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15University of Notre Dame0.45-0.71vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.52-1.95vs Predicted
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17Boston University2.91-9.49vs Predicted
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18University of Texas-1.27-1.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.38Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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6.35U. S. Naval Academy3.220.1%1st Place
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5.02Roger Williams University3.710.1%1st Place
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6.01Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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4.34Yale University3.930.2%1st Place
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8.24George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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10.72Jacksonville University1.880.0%1st Place
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6.5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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5.03College of Charleston3.750.1%1st Place
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8.02University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.0%1st Place
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12.69Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.180.0%1st Place
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9.62University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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10.74Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
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14.29University of Notre Dame0.450.0%1st Place
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14.05Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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7.51Boston University2.910.0%1st Place
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16.49University of Texas-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Elkin | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Peter Hogan | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Martim Anderson | 12.3% | 14.0% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hector Guzman | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Shawn Harvey | 17.9% | 15.8% | 13.7% | 12.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Stephan VerHulst | 2.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.2% | 15.3% | 14.7% | 8.7% | 3.7% | 0.3% |
| Mack Fox | 9.3% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Augie Dale | 11.3% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Alyson Crowley | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 12.0% | 16.8% | 22.4% | 13.4% | 2.9% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 3.0% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Alex Schwinn | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 15.0% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Peter Pillari | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 22.1% | 34.6% | 9.4% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 12.4% | 22.9% | 31.1% | 8.2% |
| Josh Dochoda | 4.0% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Michael Hernandez | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 4.6% | 11.7% | 77.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.