Race 5A

maisa-women-fall

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Sydney Bolger 36.7% 24.9% 17.8% 11.6% 4.7% 3.3% 0.6% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Caroline Patten 15.3% 16.5% 17.2% 15.8% 13.9% 9.4% 7.3% 3.6% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Amanda Johnson 6.7% 7.6% 8.6% 11.1% 13.0% 15.5% 15.6% 14.2% 6.4% 1.3% 0.0%
Mayumi Roller 11.9% 14.4% 16.6% 14.7% 15.5% 11.8% 8.8% 4.8% 1.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryann Hall 3.9% 4.9% 5.4% 7.1% 9.4% 11.3% 15.6% 20.6% 16.1% 5.1% 0.6%
Lauren Turner 11.2% 13.8% 15.5% 15.8% 14.4% 12.3% 8.7% 5.7% 2.2% 0.4% 0.0%
Corina Radtke 8.3% 10.0% 9.3% 13.0% 14.3% 15.6% 13.8% 9.8% 5.0% 0.8% 0.1%
Meredith Carroll 3.7% 5.4% 5.6% 7.7% 9.6% 12.8% 17.5% 15.9% 17.0% 4.3% 0.5%
Laura Burzenski 1.4% 2.2% 2.6% 2.4% 3.5% 4.2% 7.7% 16.8% 30.7% 21.6% 6.9%
Jessie Shifalo 0.4% 0.2% 0.5% 0.3% 0.7% 1.3% 2.1% 3.7% 8.5% 25.1% 57.2%
Catherine Olsen 0.5% 0.1% 0.9% 0.5% 1.0% 2.5% 2.3% 4.6% 11.8% 41.1% 34.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.