Race 6B

stuart-walker

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Ocean Smith 17.5% 16.9% 17.2% 15.6% 12.7% 9.5% 7.1% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1%
Penelope Weekes 16.8% 15.8% 16.9% 16.8% 13.4% 9.8% 6.5% 3.0% 0.9% 0.2%
Felix Nusbaum 7.7% 10.1% 10.0% 11.8% 15.1% 14.8% 12.3% 10.8% 6.2% 1.2%
Zachary Amelotte 27.7% 22.5% 17.6% 13.9% 9.0% 5.5% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Ryan Petrush 12.4% 14.5% 14.9% 14.2% 14.9% 13.1% 8.8% 5.1% 1.7% 0.4%
Kate Adams 3.2% 4.7% 4.2% 5.7% 7.3% 10.4% 14.9% 20.7% 19.9% 8.9%
Devon Valenta 1.9% 2.2% 3.5% 4.7% 4.8% 7.7% 11.3% 16.7% 29.2% 18.1%
Ian Peterson 7.8% 7.5% 8.9% 9.8% 12.7% 15.8% 16.9% 12.6% 6.6% 1.4%
Aengus Onken 4.2% 4.8% 5.0% 6.2% 7.9% 10.7% 14.3% 18.4% 18.8% 10.0%
Yunwen Xu 0.8% 1.1% 1.8% 1.4% 2.2% 2.7% 5.2% 9.2% 16.0% 59.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.