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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Old Dominion University2.82+6.21vs Predicted
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2U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.20+4.01vs Predicted
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3University of California at Santa Barbara2.73+4.68vs Predicted
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4Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.15+8.54vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.37+0.47vs Predicted
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6Boston University2.91+1.24vs Predicted
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7Texas A&M University at Galveston1.91+3.40vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.40-2.63vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.25-2.87vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.23-4.07vs Predicted
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11University of Wisconsin2.24-1.54vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University2.33-2.98vs Predicted
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14George Washington University2.49-5.41vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy2.88-7.74vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University0.52-2.00vs Predicted
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17University of Texas-1.27-0.58vs Predicted
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18University of Notre Dame0.45-3.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.21Old Dominion University2.820.1%1st Place
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6.01U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.200.1%1st Place
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7.68University of California at Santa Barbara2.730.1%1st Place
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12.54Cal Poly University S.L.O.1.150.0%1st Place
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5.47College of Charleston3.370.1%1st Place
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7.24Boston University2.910.1%1st Place
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10.4Texas A&M University at Galveston1.910.0%1st Place
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5.37Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.400.1%1st Place
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6.13Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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5.93Roger Williams University3.230.1%1st Place
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9.46University of Wisconsin2.240.0%1st Place
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9.02Jacksonville University2.330.0%1st Place
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8.59George Washington University2.490.0%1st Place
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7.26U. S. Naval Academy2.880.1%1st Place
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14.0Western Washington University0.520.0%1st Place
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16.42University of Texas-1.270.0%1st Place
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14.25University of Notre Dame0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dreugh Phillips | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mack Fox | 10.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucas Pierce | 6.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Josselyn Verutti | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 17.8% | 22.0% | 16.3% | 1.6% |
| Alie Toppa | 12.3% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Josh Dochoda | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alex Schwinn | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 8.7% | 3.1% | 0.4% |
| Hector Guzman | 13.9% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 8.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Conner Harding | 9.4% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Kutschenreuter | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 13.0% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% |
| Andre Guaragna | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Derek Poon Tip | 4.7% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Maxwell Brill | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ezekiel Ward | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 6.9% | 12.5% | 20.9% | 31.7% | 9.5% |
| Michael Hernandez | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 5.3% | 12.1% | 77.0% |
| Peter Pillari | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 11.0% | 22.0% | 32.5% | 11.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.