Race 6A

maisa-women-fall

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

63.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Caroline Patten 13.6% 15.8% 17.6% 15.2% 16.3% 12.2% 6.1% 1.9% 1.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Amanda Johnson 7.3% 7.8% 8.7% 10.3% 14.8% 17.1% 14.8% 11.6% 6.3% 1.1% 0.2%
Meredith Carroll 3.6% 4.1% 5.4% 6.5% 8.8% 11.9% 16.6% 20.8% 16.1% 5.5% 0.7%
Sydney Bolger 35.7% 25.9% 16.8% 12.5% 5.3% 2.2% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Ryann Hall 3.3% 5.1% 5.4% 7.7% 8.0% 11.4% 15.6% 21.8% 15.6% 5.5% 0.6%
Lauren Turner 11.3% 12.7% 16.0% 16.0% 15.0% 11.0% 8.7% 6.4% 2.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Corina Radtke 9.4% 7.9% 10.8% 12.2% 14.9% 14.8% 14.5% 9.9% 4.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Mayumi Roller 13.4% 18.2% 17.0% 15.3% 12.4% 11.2% 8.3% 3.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0%
Laura Burzenski 1.6% 2.1% 1.4% 3.6% 2.8% 4.8% 8.8% 15.1% 31.9% 21.0% 6.9%
Jessie Shifalo 0.3% 0.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.7% 1.6% 2.2% 3.8% 8.7% 24.8% 57.1%
Catherine Olsen 0.5% 0.3% 0.5% 0.4% 1.0% 1.8% 3.3% 5.0% 12.4% 40.4% 34.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.