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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Ohio State University-0.53+1.79vs Predicted
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2Miami University0.95-0.50vs Predicted
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3Miami University-1.01+0.31vs Predicted
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4Ohio State University-1.20-0.45vs Predicted
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5Hillsdale College-1.52-1.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.79Ohio State University-0.5315.6%1st Place
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1.5Miami University0.9562.6%1st Place
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3.31Miami University-1.019.3%1st Place
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3.55Ohio State University-1.208.0%1st Place
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3.86Hillsdale College-1.524.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Mignogna | 15.6% | 28.0% | 27.7% | 19.4% | 9.4% |
| Reed Porter | 62.6% | 27.3% | 8.2% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Annabelle MacCartee | 9.3% | 18.7% | 25.1% | 25.9% | 21.1% |
| Emma Leidheiser | 8.0% | 14.2% | 21.4% | 27.5% | 28.9% |
| Finn Rowan | 4.5% | 11.9% | 17.6% | 25.4% | 40.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.