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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College3.73+5.37vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.16+6.52vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.53+4.00vs Predicted
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4Hampton University3.02+4.63vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.96vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.37+1.47vs Predicted
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7University of Michigan2.09+5.29vs Predicted
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8University of South Florida3.59-1.38vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.74-2.92vs Predicted
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10Eckerd College2.72+0.22vs Predicted
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11Tulane University1.61+2.89vs Predicted
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12Georgetown University3.81-5.83vs Predicted
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13Cornell University3.14-4.81vs Predicted
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14University of Washington1.53-0.14vs Predicted
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15University of California at Berkeley1.53-0.90vs Predicted
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16Northwestern University1.95-3.09vs Predicted
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17St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-7.81vs Predicted
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18Florida State University1.69-4.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.37Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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8.52Fordham University3.160.0%1st Place
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7.0Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.63Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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5.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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7.47University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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12.29University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
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6.62University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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6.08Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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10.22Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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13.89Tulane University1.610.0%1st Place
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6.17Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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8.19Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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13.86University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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14.1University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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12.91Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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9.19St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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13.54Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Sinks | 9.5% | 10.1% | 8.0% | 10.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Ty Ingram | 11.8% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Hermus | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 7.4% |
| Sean Cornell | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 9.3% | 12.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 1.3% |
| James Mcavoy | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 14.3% | 14.1% | 21.2% |
| Sean Segerblom | 10.7% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.8% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Erik Skeel | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 16.2% | 19.9% |
| Andrew Solomon | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 15.9% | 21.7% |
| Mark Davies | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 13.5% | 10.4% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 1.9% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 16.0% | 15.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.