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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island3.37+6.68vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida3.59+4.86vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.53+4.06vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.16+4.18vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+0.98vs Predicted
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6Boston College3.73+0.10vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.81-1.11vs Predicted
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8Northwestern University1.95+4.65vs Predicted
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9University of Washington1.53+5.19vs Predicted
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10Hampton University3.02-0.98vs Predicted
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11Stanford University3.74-4.74vs Predicted
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12Florida State University1.69+1.93vs Predicted
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13University of California at Berkeley1.53+0.92vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-5.20vs Predicted
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15Tulane University1.61-1.10vs Predicted
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16Eckerd College2.72-5.95vs Predicted
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17Cornell University3.14-8.58vs Predicted
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18University of Michigan2.09-5.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.68University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
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6.86University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
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7.06Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
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8.18Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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5.98Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
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6.1Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
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5.89Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
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12.65Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
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14.19University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
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9.02Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
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6.26Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
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13.93Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
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13.92University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
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8.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
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13.9Tulane University1.610.0%1st Place
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10.05Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
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8.42Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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12.11University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Hermus | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Sean Cornell | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Williford | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 7.2% | 4.8% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Ty Ingram | 11.3% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 10.4% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 11.3% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Mark Davies | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 9.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 1.1% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 13.4% | 19.1% | 20.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Will La Dow | 10.1% | 11.3% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 15.7% | 19.9% |
| Andrew Solomon | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 12.7% | 14.7% | 21.4% |
| Edmund Cooper | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| James Mcavoy | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 11.6% | 13.1% | 15.5% | 19.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 1.5% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.4% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| August Sturm | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 6.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.