← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
22.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida3.59+5.88vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College3.53+5.04vs Predicted
-
3Boston College3.73+3.28vs Predicted
-
4Stanford University3.74+1.98vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.77+1.02vs Predicted
-
6Georgetown University3.81-0.08vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College2.72+2.97vs Predicted
-
8University of Washington1.53+5.98vs Predicted
-
9Northwestern University1.95+3.81vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island3.37-2.26vs Predicted
-
11St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96-1.88vs Predicted
-
12Cornell University3.14-3.30vs Predicted
-
13Fordham University3.16-4.91vs Predicted
-
14University of Michigan2.09-2.01vs Predicted
-
15Hampton University3.02-6.27vs Predicted
-
16Florida State University1.69-2.30vs Predicted
-
17Tulane University1.61-3.00vs Predicted
-
18University of California at Berkeley1.53-3.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.88University of South Florida3.590.1%1st Place
-
7.04Dartmouth College3.530.1%1st Place
-
6.28Boston College3.730.1%1st Place
-
5.98Stanford University3.740.1%1st Place
-
6.02Massachusetts Institute of Technology3.770.1%1st Place
-
5.92Georgetown University3.810.1%1st Place
-
9.97Eckerd College2.720.0%1st Place
-
13.98University of Washington1.530.0%1st Place
-
12.81Northwestern University1.950.0%1st Place
-
7.74University of Rhode Island3.370.1%1st Place
-
9.12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.1%1st Place
-
8.7Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
-
8.09Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
-
11.99University of Michigan2.090.0%1st Place
-
8.73Hampton University3.020.1%1st Place
-
13.7Florida State University1.690.0%1st Place
-
14.0Tulane University1.610.0%1st Place
-
14.05University of California at Berkeley1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean Cornell | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Williford | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Charles Sinks | 9.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Will La Dow | 11.6% | 10.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ty Ingram | 10.2% | 12.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sean Segerblom | 10.4% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Rasmus Sayre | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Erik Skeel | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 12.0% | 17.5% | 21.8% |
| Mark Davies | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 12.5% | 9.5% |
| Sarah Hermus | 7.6% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| Clark Uhl | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.2% |
| Roberto Stevens | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| August Sturm | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 7.0% |
| Maximilian Kuester | 5.0% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Jeffrey Hayden | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 10.6% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 18.1% |
| James Mcavoy | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 13.7% | 16.7% | 19.9% |
| Andrew Solomon | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 14.7% | 16.9% | 19.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.